Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 9.003379 10.447749 11.999039 13.783233 15.772603 17.916525 20.395547
2025-03-16 6.961198 8.795355 10.895000 13.456525 16.476259 19.901778 24.059117
2025-03-23 5.778060 7.846484 10.343591 13.539146 17.475726 22.121188 27.968516
2025-03-30 4.849926 7.033616 9.798807 13.488899 18.209513 23.968359 31.438974
2025-04-06 4.216765 6.489646 9.492930 13.650105 19.142924 26.033931 35.199738
2025-04-13 3.706222 6.030786 9.225899 13.798179 20.016563 28.012516 38.882147
2025-04-20 3.366431 5.761220 9.171032 14.195390 21.201826 30.403113 43.143926
2025-04-27 3.043224 5.470583 9.046353 14.463620 22.197203 32.553737 47.138725
2025-05-04 2.694445 5.094414 8.754074 14.454557 22.783006 34.150900 50.424283
2025-05-11 2.251102 4.508575 8.087629 13.836955 22.452222 34.456795 51.945751
2025-05-18 1.960665 4.138909 7.715738 13.620657 22.667422 35.500494 54.480074
2025-05-25 1.687664 3.762612 7.294794 13.289250 22.678603 36.234793 56.581801
2025-06-01 1.480587 3.481131 7.006636 13.148224 22.969130 37.382085 59.310381
2025-06-08 1.269124 3.160721 6.619953 12.814284 22.935053 38.040436 61.343194
2025-06-15 1.144713 2.995228 6.487220 12.885712 23.527641 39.631530 64.756506
2025-06-22 1.017893 2.805983 6.292502 12.834085 23.912980 40.913597 67.739964
2025-06-29 0.930912 2.689962 6.221608 12.987643 24.629364 42.710793 71.522504
2025-07-06 0.851386 2.578845 6.148845 13.129389 25.325684 44.489974 75.313808
2025-07-13 0.804970 2.538383 6.209376 13.510986 26.431473 46.929259 80.151639
2025-07-20 0.749751 2.468487 6.204118 13.768781 27.333406 49.068063 84.575102
2025-07-27 0.674869 2.337431 6.061590 13.760023 27.774594 50.484328 87.916732
2025-08-03 0.559635 2.079362 5.626766 13.166260 27.170720 50.204554 88.619411
2025-08-10 0.488393 1.926527 5.401480 12.958360 27.228090 50.983371 90.978053